With the 2025 NFL Draft just a week away in Green Bay, a rare and intriguing situation has emerged, every team still holds its original first-round pick.
According to NFL Research, this marks the first time in the common draft era that all 32 franchises entered the new league year with their first-round selections intact. Remarkably, that status remains unchanged as we approach April 24th.
This scenario is not just uncommon, it’s nearly historic. If no first-round picks are traded before the draft begins, it will be the first time since 2014 that the top 32 selections have remained untouched from the start of the league year to draft night.
Why the Trade Silence?
The 2025 draft class is widely considered deep but lacks consensus top-tier talent. Without clear-cut stars at the top, many teams seem content to stay put. The logic is simple: why trade up if a similarly graded player can be had at No. 28 as at No. 18?
That said, all it takes is one team falling in love with a prospect to shake up the board. As Panthers GM Dan Morgan put it, “It only takes one”.
Quarterback Market Still a Wild Card
Quarterbacks often spark draft-day movement, but this year’s class is murky at the top. The Tennessee Titans are expected to select Cam Ward No. 1 overall, but beyond him, the outlook is uncertain.
Will Shedeur Sanders generate a late surge in interest? Can high-upside prospects like Jalen Milroe, Jaxson Dart, or Tyler Shough prompt a team to trade into the first round to secure a long-term project?
The New Orleans Saints could be a pivot point at No. 9 following Derek Carr’s shoulder injury, potentially reshaping the QB market.
Draft-Day Trade Trends to Watch
While this year has been unusually quiet, history suggests fireworks are still likely. Consider these trends, per NFL Research:
- A team has traded into or within the Top 15 in 24 straight drafts.
- Since 2011, there has been an average of 1.5 trades into the Top 10 each year.
- Of the last 15 teams to make a first-round draft-day trade, 12 selected offensive players, with notable exceptions like EDGE Will Anderson Jr. in 2023 and LB Devin Bush in 2019.
So, while 2025 may be calm now, draft night in Green Bay could still bring the chaos NFL fans love.
